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Independent experts contest official statistics on evolution of GDP in 1st quarter of this year

June 28, 2006
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Experts of the Analytic Centre Expert-Grup contest the data on evolution of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the 1st quarter of this year, published on the website of the National Bureau for Statistics (BNS) on June 27.

According to BNS data, GDP rose by 6.2 percent in January-March up to 8,449,042,000 lei, compared with 7,216,056,000 lei in the first quarter of 2005.

Expert-Grup representatives say that the growth was "arithmetically filled" because of the methodology used to calculate GDP, while the real rise of this indicator was by 1.5-3 percentage points lower than claimed.

In this context, experts say that more than 50 percent of the economic growth obtained in the period concerned was due to higher taxes, while the effective advance of production was less than half of the registered economic growth.

Expert-Grup affirms that the 7-percent reduction of industrial production, stagnation of agriculture, 50-percent decline of wine production, 26-percent decrease of meat, 20 percent of flour and 50 percent of pumps in the first five months of this year confirm its estimates.

According to BNS accounts, GDP grew by 8.2 percent in the first trimester of 2005 and by 6.1 percent in the same period of 2004. // BASA-Press

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